The filing changed.
Does your thesis?

For equity analysts with companies to keep up with. Compare the disclosures, check the source, and see which assumptions need another look.

Apple example: China sales fell 7.7%. A “steady revenue” assumption needs review. See the filing evidence.

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One assumption. A reason to revisit it.AAPL · FY2024

Worked example · real filing data, illustrative analyst note

Your working assumption

“Greater China revenue is holding steady.”

Apple Greater China net sales, US dollars in millions
Net sales · USD millionsFY2023FY2024
Greater China72,55966,952

Down 7.7%. The assumption needs review.

The annual figures do not support “holding steady.” Revisit the China assumption before carrying it into your next research note.

Check the SEC source · segment table

Need one number.
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Ask the filing question directly. Get the reported figure with its period, units, and source so you can check it before it goes into your model.

Find a filing-backed number

“What was Apple’s FY2024 operating cash flow?”

The figure
The reported value, with currency and scale.
The context
The fiscal period and how the metric is defined.
The evidence
A filing citation you can open and inspect.

Your next research update shouldn’t start from zero.

Keep a company report with its evidence and your assumptions. When disclosures change, review a proposed revision and decide what belongs in the next version.

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  1. Keep the baseline

    Save the report you are working from, with the sources behind it.

  2. Review the new evidence

    Compare the filing changes against the prior thesis.

  3. Make the call yourself

    Approve or reject the proposed update. Keep the previous version.

What did you actually know at the time?

Revisit a past investment thesis using disclosures available by your chosen date. Keep later information out of the explanation and make gaps visible.

Investigate a past filing date

AS OF 2024-11-01 · AAPL

“What did the filings say about China revenue before I updated my thesis?”

A dated research question, with the evidence available then.

Put it against a question on your desk.

Bring one company you cover. Check the answer against the filing. Decide whether it earns a place in your research process.

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